Preseason Rankings
Tarleton St.
Western Athletic
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-15.0#340
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.3#163
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-7.1#329
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-7.8#338
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 1.7% 14.3% 1.6%
.500 or above in Conference 6.3% 22.4% 6.1%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.3% 0.2% 3.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas A&M (Away) - 0.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 44 - 64 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 02, 2020 78   @ Texas A&M L 55-80 1%    
  Dec 05, 2020 173   @ Abilene Christian L 63-80 6%    
  Dec 08, 2020 1   @ Gonzaga L 61-98 0.0%   
  Dec 13, 2020 4   @ Kansas L 54-89 0.1%   
  Dec 23, 2020 108   @ Pepperdine L 67-89 3%    
  Jan 08, 2021 177   Grand Canyon L 68-79 17%    
  Jan 09, 2021 177   Grand Canyon L 68-79 17%    
  Jan 15, 2021 271   @ California Baptist L 69-81 16%    
  Jan 16, 2021 271   @ California Baptist L 69-81 17%    
  Jan 22, 2021 286   Seattle L 72-77 34%    
  Jan 23, 2021 286   Seattle L 72-77 34%    
  Feb 12, 2021 345   Chicago St. W 69-63 69%    
  Feb 13, 2021 345   Chicago St. W 69-63 69%    
  Feb 19, 2021 337   @ Dixie St. L 62-65 40%    
  Feb 20, 2021 337   @ Dixie St. L 62-65 40%    
  Feb 26, 2021 92   New Mexico St. L 59-77 7%    
  Feb 27, 2021 92   New Mexico St. L 59-77 8%    
  Mar 05, 2021 231   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 68-82 14%    
  Mar 06, 2021 231   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 68-82 14%    
Projected Record 4 - 15 4 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.6 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 7.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 5.1 5.3 2.1 0.2 0.0 14.3 6th
7th 0.3 4.4 9.2 7.1 2.1 0.2 23.3 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 8.0 11.1 6.4 1.4 0.0 27.8 8th
9th 3.3 8.0 7.1 2.5 0.5 0.0 21.4 9th
10th 10th
Total 3.3 9.0 15.4 18.1 17.6 14.1 9.8 6.5 3.3 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 90.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-4 23.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 11.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0% 0.0
12-4 0.1% 0.1
11-5 0.3% 0.3
10-6 0.8% 0.8
9-7 1.8% 1.8
8-8 3.3% 3.3
7-9 6.5% 6.5
6-10 9.8% 9.8
5-11 14.1% 14.1
4-12 17.6% 17.6
3-13 18.1% 18.1
2-14 15.4% 15.4
1-15 9.0% 9.0
0-16 3.3% 3.3
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.3%